Hubris

Excessive Pride or Self Confidence…now which politician does that remind you of? I know this is a bit of a silly question as the list could be along and distinguished(?) but the one politician, for me, who embodies this more than any one else is Alex Salmond. He is widely accepted as one of the most nimble footed politician around and it is also seems widely accepted that he will be in Westminster after the May election. One is definitely true, the second well we’ll see.

So Mr Salmond has been making a big noise, what else, about how the SNP will be ruling the roost come the next parliament as they will have the power to effectively veto any policy they don’t like. This assumes that the SNP will get anything like the seats that they are predicted to do so, which includes Mr Salmond gaining a long term Lib Dem. seat. It also assumes that the Labour party want to play ball with the SNP which I think might be a harder thing to do than Mr Salmond thinks. After all there are a large number of north of England Labour MPs who look at the advantages given to Scotland and might think enough is enough. Equally, there is the problem of Labour in Scotland and the need to differentiate themselves especially with the 2016 Holyrood elections coming up. In short Alex Salmond may be in for something of a surprise once the dust has settled from the next election.

Which, I guess, is why the SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon is playing things much more calmly. Instead of banging around about how the SNP will be a major force at Westminster she is carefully laying out the ground for some form of Alliance/Coalition of the left of centre parties who might wish to support the Labour minority government. Again she is aware that she has a second election to win after the one in May so needs to position the SNP in such a way as to make the most of what might fall out of the Westminster election.

So which view will prevail come May? Well I suspect this will be effected not by the Conservative, Labour or SNP vote but rather the Lib Dem. vote. If this stands the test in enough of their seats then all this shouting and boasting of Alex Salmond will be for nothing because they probably would be another rerun of the current government and Alex Salmond would not have been elected to Westminster. Now that would be hubris.

Simon Marchini
http://www.simonmarchini.co.uk

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About Guthlac

An artist, historian and middle aged man who'se aim in life is to try and enjoy as much of it as he can
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